Scenario for Homers Win

Now looking at the Homers, there are still several areas where the Homers could make up points in the standings, but time is running out...

As of 9:40 pm ET (Wed. 9/26/07), the Homers are also down 93.5-87. Of course, the Goliaths could lose points as described in the Sluggers scenario, but the Homers have enough areas to score that a winning scenario doesn't necessarily rely on the Goliaths to falter.

Homers could pass Sluggers in BA (.2753 - .2757)
Homers could pass Doggs, Lords in SB (140-143-143) - although the trends may not favor this
Homers could pass the Shorts, Sluggers, Prowlers in K (1015-1021-1025-1035) - remember the Prowlers have the least amount of starts remaining and the Homers have the most...

A key matchup is Homers vs. Slackers in ERA and WHIP; the Homers are currently down 4.022-4.019 in ERA and 1.327-1.324 in WHIP - and the Slackers still have Jamie Moyer, Chuck James, Kevin Correia and Chad Billingsley left to pitch

Finally if the Homers could tie/pass the Doggs and Guys in wins (68-70-71), then it has 2 points more of upside - leaving a total upside of 10 points gained or 97 total.

Stay tuned - this is going to be a good one...

Scenario for Sluggers Win

With 5 days left in the regular season, the Goliaths appear to be in the driver's seat, but it's far from over. I looked at a scenario where the Sluggers could overtake the Goliaths and it's not far-fetched...

Current score: Goliaths 93.5 Sluggers 87 (based on live scoring as of 9:20 pm ET, Wed. night)

If Doggs pass Goliaths in RBI's (currently 883-881), then it's 92.5-87
If Sluggers pass Prowlers in K's (currently 1035-1025), then it's 92.5-88
If Sluggers pass Homers, Slackers in ERA (currently 4.033 chasing 4.022, 4.023) then it's 92.5-90
If Prowlers break the current tie in wins with Goliaths, then it's 92-90 AND

If Sluggers can catch and pass the Goliaths in SB's (currently 131-128)...then we have a 91-91 tie and the Sluggers win the tiebreaker...(the two teams would be tied with 5 categories each and the Sluggers have about 450 more AB's while only about 12 IP less...)

And with some further analysis, the race is likely to tighten

RBI's - for the week the Doggs are up 16-8 on Goliaths...
K's - Sluggers has 6 starts left (2 on Sunday); Prowlers only have 4 starts left (3 on Sunday)
ERA - Sluggers have 6 starts (2 on Sunday); Homers have 7/2; Slackers 4/2
Wins - Prowlers 4 starts; Goliaths 5 starts
SB's - for the week, Sluggers up 4-1 on Goliaths...

Hang on folks, this could be a wild ride...and we haven't even looked at the possibilities of a Monday tiebreaker playoff game...

Too bad the draft isn't in DC...

http://www.jdland.com/dc/stadium.cfm

hitters' or pitchers' park? see stadium dimensions at the bottom of the page.

Best Roblisserie race ever?

Two weeks to go, and it seems like every category still has some potential point gains or losses for at least one of the two leaders. The fact that the Homers could lose 7 points in the third to last week of the season is amazing.