Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Scenario for Sluggers Win

With 5 days left in the regular season, the Goliaths appear to be in the driver's seat, but it's far from over. I looked at a scenario where the Sluggers could overtake the Goliaths and it's not far-fetched...

Current score: Goliaths 93.5 Sluggers 87 (based on live scoring as of 9:20 pm ET, Wed. night)

If Doggs pass Goliaths in RBI's (currently 883-881), then it's 92.5-87
If Sluggers pass Prowlers in K's (currently 1035-1025), then it's 92.5-88
If Sluggers pass Homers, Slackers in ERA (currently 4.033 chasing 4.022, 4.023) then it's 92.5-90
If Prowlers break the current tie in wins with Goliaths, then it's 92-90 AND

If Sluggers can catch and pass the Goliaths in SB's (currently 131-128)...then we have a 91-91 tie and the Sluggers win the tiebreaker...(the two teams would be tied with 5 categories each and the Sluggers have about 450 more AB's while only about 12 IP less...)

And with some further analysis, the race is likely to tighten

RBI's - for the week the Doggs are up 16-8 on Goliaths...
K's - Sluggers has 6 starts left (2 on Sunday); Prowlers only have 4 starts left (3 on Sunday)
ERA - Sluggers have 6 starts (2 on Sunday); Homers have 7/2; Slackers 4/2
Wins - Prowlers 4 starts; Goliaths 5 starts
SB's - for the week, Sluggers up 4-1 on Goliaths...

Hang on folks, this could be a wild ride...and we haven't even looked at the possibilities of a Monday tiebreaker playoff game...

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